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Portent of doom ... Australia to face years of drought and extreme fire seasons, study finds

Squire

Active member
The drought is not over.

It is likely that if rain is absent over summer this will be a high-risk fire season if the new growth suffers drying from wind and sun.

The public keeps failing to acknowledge the inevitable. Global warming has not just arrived, it is accelerating.

Hotter than hell is coming by over-compensation? ... "The study, led by CSIRO Director, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, Wenju Cai, found the current lull in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) would be "over compensated for" in future decades."

https://www.9news.com.au/national/a...dy-finds/b8c825d1-0f5f-4380-8fd5-d491e66eec54

Australia to face years of drought and extreme fire seasons, study finds
By 9News Staff
2:10pm Sep 3, 2020
https://www.9news.com.au/national/australia-to-face-years-of-drought-and-extreme-fire-seasons-study-finds/b8c825d1-0f5f-4380-8fd5-d491e66eec54#
Australia could be about to enter years of extreme drought, fire seasons and floods, according to a study published today.
The study, led by CSIRO Director, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, Wenju Cai, found the current lull in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) would be "over compensated for" in future decades.

For Australia, that could mean more extreme weather conditions, Dr Cai said.


Could the El Nino "lull" lead to more extreme fire seasons? (Alex Ellinghausen)

"This is the first time we have been able to show there is a link between the past and the future," he said.
Researchers applied the so-called "butterfly effect" on computer models to see how tiny changes affect eventual El Nino activity. Those tweaks involved altering temperatures by one hundred of a trillionth of a degree to mimic the effects of the flapping of a butterfly's wings.
The "hiatus", playing out over the past two decades, has seen a reduction of 13 per cent in ENSO activity.
Families struggle to cope throughout the drought which has ravaged the district of Trundle.

Scientists say droughts could become more frequent in Australia. (9News)

The "butterfly effect" modelling showed this suppressed activity could lead to a projected increase in ENSO variability by as much as 37 per cent.
Dr Cai said researchers could not say for certain that Australia's recent drought and last summer's deadly bushfire season were a result of this El Nino "over-compensation".

"We need to see a period of time with the same pattern," he said.
"We cannot say which decade it will be, or how many decades."
 

pinkeye

Wonder woman
I was talking about the future of the earth and humans with a person,
a person that drove to the Coast because they thought there might be a Tsunami.
A person who declares they want to live to see the end of the world.

I told them, we ARE ALREADY seeing the end of the world. (As we know it)

Not with a bang, but with a whimper. Covered in filth of our own making.
 

Squire

Active member
I was talking about the future of the earth and humans with a person,
a person that drove to the Coast because they thought there might be a Tsunami.
A person who declares they want to live to see the end of the world.

I told them, we ARE ALREADY seeing the end of the world. (As we know it)

Not with a bang, but with a whimper. Covered in filth of our own making.
It is true. While the human population is growing the animal and insect population is shrinking faster.

In this age of IT we can watch our own demise on the internet.
 
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