DonDeeHippy wrote: ↑
20 May 2020, 05:41
Shell you say you listen to arguments but you refuse and change this one over and over again.
In march new daily infections went from 100 to 470 per day in less than a week..
You completely ignore this and actually say it's wrong.
If you can't accept the fact of this, there is really no point looking at your other "facts"
You instead get a average from the middle of January to show a low average number of infections...
I guess it ruins your premise...
Oh, I do listen to your arguments and assertions. But before I blindly accept them as the truth, I check first if they are factually and logically consistent. Your arguments and assertions are NOT FACTUALLY or LOGICALLT consistent. If they were, then hundreds of thousands of Australians would be infected already. They aren't. If the government told you that aliens had landed in the MSG, would you accept it, or check for the evidence to support it?
I checked the number of people infected every day before the lockdown. I started with the very first infection(Jan.25), to the last person infected before the lockdown(Mar. 12). The highest number of infections in one day was 25(Mar.12), and the lowest was 1 on 6 days(24,6,5,4,1/March & 27/Jan.). I then looked at all the stats after the lockdown began, up to May 18th. The highest number of infections in one day was 457(Mar. 28), and the lowest was 7(April 27).
If you are going to make a claim that, "In march new daily infections went from 100 to 470 per day
in less than a week..", then I expect you to back-up your claim with evidence. How else do you determine the daily rate of infections? I have proven that it would be IMPOSSIBLE for the average daily rate of infections before the lockdown, to be anywhere near 100(only 3). It would be more accurate to say that the average daily infections, went from 3 before the lockdowns, to 103 after the lockdowns. That is at least accurate. Do you want me to list the exact daily numbers of infections from Jan. 25th until May 18th? Or, will you nust simply deny and ignore these facts as well?
However, if we take the daily infections from the 1st 9 days of the lockdown(41,51,49,78,78,113,142,138,228), and divide the total by 9 days, we get 102 average daily infections in that period. If we then take the infections from the second week(22nd March) of the lockdown(289,328,370,380,375,375,457), and divide by those 7 days, we get 366 average daily infections in that week. Therefore, you would be correct to claim that the daily infections in March went from 100 to 360(not 470) in one week. At least this assertion is verifiable and fact-based.
Am I suppose to ignore these facts? And only accept the facts that YOU deposit? You took one day that had the highest number of infections, and used it to represent the average daily number of infections. This is fallacious and dishonest. And, you know it.
Jan. 25th is not the middle of January, and the period was 47 days. I was comparing the stats before and after the lockdown. Especially, since your claims was to promote, just how effective the lockdown was. The facts obviously don't support this claim. So, yes, I do say that the claim is wrong and misleading. And, I have shown you the facts and logic to prove it. Now it is YOU who is choosing to ignore the facts. It is YOU who is choosing to ignore my interpretation of the facts. And, It is YOU who is choosing to NOT to defend your own claim. Other than just shaming and blaming.
Again, I am not interested in any of your assertions that I am wrong, or that I refuse to listen you or anyone else. Any moron can make assertions and accusations, without evidence. I'm only interested in the evidence supporting your claims and accusations. In other words, if my interpretation of the facts is incorrect, WHY! If the facts are wrong, WHY! Do you have a verifiable alternative explanation? If one person is killed in a car accident, should we ban all cars? 15,500 people die from smoking, and 6,000 people die from alcohol abuse every year. Should we ban all tobacco and alcohol for health reasons? 100 elderly people die from existing complications, aggravated by the coronavirus, and we close down our economy, force social distancing, end jobs and businesses, and to herald in a new surveillance state. Please Think!!!