Consequences of AGW

For scientific papers on AGW, record happenings in the Arctic and the Greenland, Himalayan and Antarctic icesheets. Also weatherstorms and higher than average rainfalls and other extreme weather events.

Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 20 Sep 2017, 16:44

For one, the US military is having to make large commitments to deal with the results of AGW: flooding from rain as hurricanes get fed with more energy and more moisture from warmer seas, flooding by sea as sea levels keep rising, the damage from ever fiercer winds. Food production might also be affected: flooding destroying crops, etc.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 04 Oct 2017, 04:42

The threat to coral reefs:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hidden-dangers-of-the-coral-reef-crisis_us_59d1e0ade4b0f3c468061024?utm_hp_ref=climate-change

While “coral nurseries” can help restock reefs with new coral it can’t keep pace with increases to ocean temperatures caused by AGW.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 11 Oct 2017, 08:22

Wildfires. As the world warms the dry seasons get hotter and wildfires get bigger and more destructive and wildfire seasons get longer.

On the east coast of the US, the Georgia–Florida are a wildfire has burned for over a year. On the west coast there have been huge wildfires—and wildfires are still burning!

Los Angeles is really copping it with nasty wildfires at the moment.

http://www.smh.com.au/world/several-dead-thousands-evacuated-as-california-battles-devastating-bushfires-20171010-gyxp7a.html
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 13 Oct 2017, 06:21

15 people killed in the northern Californinian wildfires. The fires are in the Napa Valley, winemaking country. As the firemen say, the summers are longer, i.e. the wildfire season is longer just like the bushfire season here is longer. The longer season makes fuel reduction burns difficult—a number of recent bushfires were fuel reduction burns that got out of control.

Most of the fires were caused by arsonists, as they are here. In Adelaide on bushfire danger days the cops visit known arsonists and tell them they are being watched and not to go to the Hills are where the forests are. Works well but if a fire does start the heat and tinder dry dead grass etc sees the fire race out of control.

The world is warming and longer wildfire seasons and bigger, more dangerous fires is one inevitable result.

Seven numbers that describe the Californian fires:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/northern-california-fire-numbers_us_59dba7bde4b0208970ceb7b0
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 14 Oct 2017, 01:38

Many wildfires burning out of control on the US and Canadian west coast.

Just like the southern half of Australia it seems the northwest part of the US is also warming and drying out.

https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2017/10/wildfires-threaten-human-health/
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 18 Oct 2017, 09:58

Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Ophelia is causing concern to climatologists:

Before being downgraded to a post-tropical cyclone, Ophelia was a Category 3 hurricane on Saturday and Sunday. It went farther east than any other previously recorded Category 3 hurricane in the Atlantic Basin and broke a record set in 1980.

“As sea surface temperatures continue to warm, the region of the Atlantic Ocean that can support the genesis and strengthening of tropical storms and hurricanes is expanding eastward,” said Michael Mann, a distinguished professor of atmospheric science and the director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State University.

Hurricanes are not only reaching much farther to the east, but they’re forming farther east as well, Mann noted. Hurricane Irma, which devastated parts of the Caribbean and the southeastern United States last month, was the strongest hurricane to ever form as far east in the Atlantic as it did, he said.


Mann is not the only one:
Kevin Trenberth, a distinguished senior scientist in the Climate Analysis Section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said it’s not unprecedented for an Atlantic storm to affect Europe ― it happens “every 3 or 4 years or so,” he said ― but added that there is “an unusual aspect to this.”

The storm’s eastward reach also coincides with another record, Trenberth said.

“[S]torms forming farther to the east and becoming strong is a sign of warmer oceans, and this year has seen the highest upper ocean heat content on record in the tropical Atlantic.”


Just like Hurricane Sandy that hit and flooded New York was energised along its track north in the Atlantic by high sea surface temperatures now higher temperatures in the east Atlantic are sending hurricanes further east.[/quote]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/ophelia-ireland-climate-change_us_59e4cc99e4b04d1d51835fda
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 18 Oct 2017, 10:10

Even liar Dubyne gets in on the act—and accidentally implicitly confirms heating of Atlantic waters, not something he meant to do, the dickhead. So ignorant yet Booby sends him money and believes all the lies he tells in his ridiculous videos!

Hurricane Ophellia somehow has pulled Saharan dust from the western edges of the African continent in a strange N-S wind pattern. The flow is usually from west Africa to eastern coast of N. America.


Not linking to the liar! “somehow” “strange N-S wind pattern” are the liar avoiding mentioning that high Atlantic sea surface temperatures caused Ophelia to form much further east than normal, i.e. that the globe is warming not cooling and AGW is real as we know, from measurements of thermal IR being blocked by GHGs from escaping to space meaning the IR warms the lower atmosphere and the surface.

The sandstorm (not really as Dubyne says, more a layer of dust brought down by rain, the water evaporates leaving the dust, on cars most noticeably) was brought to the UK by TC Ophelia.

The winds bringing the dust from the Sahara to Europe and the UK were part of TC Ophelia which started from and travelled further east than other hurricanes. And that was due to high Atlantic sea surface temperatures! So Dubyne just confirmed AGW is happening! :roll :rofl :rofl :rofl

Dubyne also crapped on about crop losses, take these with a grain or truckload of salt. But with a succession of hurricanes, fed by warmer and warmer Atlantic sea surface temperatures what else do you expect? But crop losses, mostly imaginary, are a constant theme of the Dubyne videos obviously to scare the brain damaged followers into buying the “survival food” Dubyne pushes. An attempt to get the cretins to buy Bitcoin backfired: if there is a huge calamity like you are saying how can we access our Bitcoins? was the response. Dubyne is not the sharpest knife in the drawer.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 18 Oct 2017, 10:41

The idiot Monckton too has shown that AGW is real (not that he meant to do that:)

The prediction according to Monckton

I have checked the IPCC’s First Assessment Report from 1990 which predicted global warming of about 1.1ºC between 1990 and 2030.

It clearly predicts an increase of 0.3ºC per decade (with an uncertainty range of up to 0.5 degrees per century) which would give an increase of 3ºC in a century – not 4.2ºC.

In Monckton’s time frame of 16 years from 2,000, the figure of 0.3ºC per decade equates to a predicted increase of 0.48 degrees.

The actual increase, according to science

So Monckton’s figure of 0.47ºC as the “observed reality” would show the scientific predictions to be one-hundredth of a degree out after nearly 16 years — an amazing feat.

Far from proving climate science wrong, it would appear at first glance he has proved it to be extremely accurate.

But this figure is not “observed reality”. It is the result of his mathematical prestidigitation, which involves averaging monthly satellite readings and determining the “least-squares linear-regression trend on their mean”.

(And, yes, you’re right, it’s usually the climate change deniers who allege that scientists mess with figures!)


https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/climate-change-denier-monckton-accidentally-proves-earth-is-warming,10828

I think it is only complete idiots like the brain damaged juliar on OzPol still believe in Teh Pause. This hurricane season (not over yet) has blown apart AGW denialism. Funny that Dubyne has not mentioned Ophelia :rofl :rofl :rofl

Watch WattsUp and JoNova further retreat their denialism.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 18 Oct 2017, 23:38

It appears what hit the UK wasn’t the Saharan sand but smoke from the wildfires in Spain and Portugal!

Liar Dubyne also mentioned the grain harvest in Finland hit for the third year running by moisture. Well, d’uh, AGW means more evaporation followed by precipitation. Could also be the Jet Stream wavering or stuck directing moisture to Finland just like the bight of part of the Jetstream stationary sent rain away from California causing a 5 year drought there. Or the open Arctic Ocean that used to be under thick ice. I know it is not a mythical ice age :rofl :rofl :rofl
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 19 Oct 2017, 10:06

40 people killed and 63 injured in the wildfires in Spain and Portugal.

And abbott says AGW is more beneficial than harmfull. and Booby says we are heading into an ice age? How can people be so fucking stupid?

Photos show Portugal and Spain in flames. A series of fires in both countries this week killed more than 40 people and injured at least 63 more.

The fires began over the weekend and grew stronger on Sunday as remnants of ex-Hurricane Ophelia exacerbated the flames. Portugal’s forests have been burning all summer, and the Portuguese Institute of Sea and Atmosphere reports September was the country’s driest month on record since 1930.

Drought and high temperatures magnified fires that Spanish authorities believe were started by arsonists. “What we are dealing with here is something that is not caused by accident. It has been provoked,” Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy told the press on Monday.

Fires are still burning in northwestern Spain but don’t currently pose a threat to population centers. As of Tuesday morning, all active fires in Portugal had been extinguished. However, frightening images of smoke and destruction remain:


http://grist.org/briefly/photos-show-portugal-and-spain-in-flames/

If you want to see the photos visit the linked article. The fires were so big that they turned the skies red over much of the UK.

Needless to say if we were in an ice age vegetation would not be so dry (less evaporation) and temperatures so high. Unless you are brain damaged how can anyone believe we are in an ice age because of a GSM when the (normal) solar minimum hasn’t even started? (2019) Some strong compulsion to believe must operate to get people to believe in an ice age even as the poles melt.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 19 Oct 2017, 10:42

When you are a cretin like Booby or The Moronic you think the increased sea ice that saw all but two out of thousands of Adele penguin chicks die is a sign of the ice age (Booby did say this on OzPol!)

Read on:

Scientists are seeking increased environmental protections after an entire breeding season of Adelie penguin chicks was wiped out in a key colony in east Antarctica.

Only two chicks survived the massive die-off among the thousands born to 18,000 pairs of breeding adults, researchers reported. Scientists believe most of the dead chicks starved as frequently absent parents were forced to travel farther in search of food due to the effects of climate change.

International officials began meeting Monday in Australia to consider a marine sanctuary in the area to help avoid another disaster.

Scientists have characterized the die-off on Terre Adelie as a “catastrophic breeding failure.”

Ironically, in a time of global warming, the most significant factor this year was that the adult penguins were blocked from the sea by more ice than usual, forcing them to travel longer distances before they could swim for food while the chicks starved. The extra ice was due to the breakup of the Mertz glacier in 2010 as waters warmed.[My emphasis]

The chicks were also drenched by unusual rains followed by low temperatures, which caused many to freeze to death, according to researchers.


Rain in Antarctica! All this happened in EAST Antarctica, note!

As part of an effort led by France and Australia, the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources is meeting through Oct. 27 in Hobart, on the Australian island state of Tasmania, to discuss creating a massive marine protected area close to 400,000 square miles in the area. The commission, whose members include the European Union and 24 other nations, was established by treaty nearly 40 years ago to conserve marine life in the Antarctic. Plans were initiated in 2009 to establish a series of such sanctuaries, but they have been stymied by struggles over fishing rights.


Krill fishing FFS!

http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/antarctica-penguin-chick-die-off_us_59e52549e4b0a2324d1d0e9a
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 19 Oct 2017, 23:16

An “atmospheric river” of storms stretching from the east coast of China to the north west coast of the US/west coast of Canada and causing record precipitation.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/atmospheric-river-china-washington_us_59e80ea3e4b00905bdaeb9c9
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 11 Nov 2017, 05:51

Longer hotter summers create more smog and pollen, leading to more/worse asthma attacks:

https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2017/11/asthma-climate-change/
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 12 Nov 2017, 20:38

New Zealand’s winter shorter by 30 days, study finds

Winter in New Zealand has been shorted by 30 days over the last 100 years, meaning that “true winter”, with very low temperatures and snow starts significantly later and ends earlier.


http://www.maltatoday.com.mt/environment/environment/82073/new_zealands_winter_shorter_by_30_days_study_finds#.WgV44MaWaUk

Link from Malta! The influence of the internet!

More seriously, it just shows how fuel reduction burns are getting harder to do, just a narrow and closing window as AGW keeps on going.
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 17 Nov 2017, 06:43

Coffee will get vastly dearer and won’t taste as good.

• Due to increasing warmth

• Due to more pests and diseases, an indirect effect of AGW


http://fairtrade.com.au/~/media/fairtrade%20australasia/files/resources%20for%20pages%20-%20reports%20standards%20and%20policies/tci_a_brewing_storm_final_24082016_web.pdf
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Re: Consequences of AGW

Postby HBS Guy » 17 Nov 2017, 08:59

Oh no! Cider production might be harmed by AGW:

From an American member of the cider group:

The apples on my old
Baldwin ripen on the tree in mid October to early November and it can take
a long time to sweat to the right point of ripeness unless the weather is
warm like this fall.


Warm like this fall. . .so the snow that fell was either local or was precipitation not low temperature. Bet all that snow is long gone.

If it gets a bit warmer will that make cider making impossible in some areas? Or will cider makers, like wine makers, have to adapt to earlier harvests and different varieties? Fuck, wine, cider, coffee all affected by AGW! Wheat will be in trouble in a decade or two, wheat growing areas becoming too hot, more heat resistant varieties already being grown but eventually—farmers will have to switch to other crops.

I guess wheat will be grown in increasingly cooler areas BUT: the south of this country is drying out and may not be suitable for growing wheat.
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