2015 NSW State election The Count

Re: 2015 NSW State election The Count

Postby HBS Guy » 09 Apr 2015, 20:41

Nationals claim Lismore:

https://newmatilda.com/2015/04/09/natio ... -gas-swing

Will post final results next week (or whenever they are available.)
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Re: 2015 NSW State election The Count

Postby HBS Guy » 14 Apr 2015, 13:55

Antony Green has the final figures:

http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2015/04/final-nsw-election-results-preferences-and-a-new-pendulum.html

The pendulum looks pretty interesting, it says that Labor’s best targets are in Country NSW. So Labor might like to take a leaf out of Steve Bracks’s book and try to do a Vic 1999 style election to beat the L/NP.

The bad news is that former Labor-leaning marginals like Riverstine, Kiama, Parramatta, Ryde, Mulgoa, etc look like they’re firmly on the Liberal side now and it’d take a landslide to win most of them back.


(PBX)

Yup, pretty lacklustre ALP campaign and an electorate loving pretty boy Baird. That will change.

2015 NSW LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : STATE-WIDE TOTALS
(Roll - 5,040,662)

Party Candi-
dates Seats
Won
Change
Votes
% Votes
Swing
Liberal Party 74 37 -14 1,545,168 35.08 -3.50
National Party 19 17 -2 464,653 10.55 -2.02
Total Coalition 93 54 -16 2,009,821 45.63 -5.51
Labor Party 67 31 +12 1,141,289 25.91 +1.89
Country Labor 26 3 +2 359,566 8.16 +6.64
Total Labor 93 34 +14 1,500,855 34.08 +8.52
Greens 93 3 +2 453,031 10.29 ..
Christian Democrats 93 .. .. 142,632 3.24 +0.12
No Land Tax 93 .. .. 88,792 2.02 +2.02
Animal Justice 5 .. .. 5,164 0.12 +0.12
Australian Cyclists 6 .. .. 4,892 0.11 +0.11
Unity 1 .. .. 3,647 0.08 +0.08
Outdoor Recreation 2 .. .. 3,096 0.07 -0.04
Socialist Alliance 2 .. .. 1,295 0.03 -0.05
Independents/Others 59 2 .. 191,109 4.34 -5.37
Formal 540 93 .. 4,404,334 .. ..
Informal 156,900 3.44 +0.24
Total Votes/Turnout 4,561,234 90.49 -2.06
Two-Party Preferred
Coalition 2,141,898 54.32 -9.89
Labor 1,801,195 45.68 +9.89
Note that the Labor Party nominated 26 of its candidates as Country Labor in 2015 but only five in 2011, which explains the large rise in Country Labor vote.

Note also that the change column in the above table compares the 2015 result to seats won at the 2011 election. Resignations, redistributions and by-elections mean that this change column differs from the seat gains and losses listed below.
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