Xenophon Quits?

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Xenophon Quits?

Postby greggerypeccary » 06 Oct 2017, 10:56

Running for a state seat?

:?
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby greggerypeccary » 06 Oct 2017, 10:58

Yes.

"Crossbench senator Nick Xenophon has announced he will be quitting federal politics and returning to state politics in South Australia."

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-06/xenophon-to-return-to-state-poltiics/9022266
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 06 Oct 2017, 11:14

Geex he is a fucking jerk and a media junky. too much to hope his Party implodes?
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 06 Oct 2017, 11:23

Yup, running for the seat of Hartley:

http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2017/10/06/senator-nick-xenophon-quit-federal-politics-run-south-australian-election/

Talks of govts making no difference—he has NEVER made a difference in politics, always sells out to the Libs!
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby Aussie » 06 Oct 2017, 14:19

It's a good strategic political move. His Party loses nothing in the Senate as he will be replaced by one of the Party. And...he likely picks up that State seat making it possible to have balance of power both Federally and in SA.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby A.G » 06 Oct 2017, 20:14

HBS Guy wrote:Geex he is a fucking jerk and a media junky. too much to hope his Party implodes?

I d agree with that no inner fortitude either- he is a pansi
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 06 Oct 2017, 20:29

Geex? My spelling has gone to pot!
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Oct 2017, 21:14

Hmmmmm

This time around though, things could be different. Looking at both recent election results in SA, and the fact that the country may very well be far more partisan than it was in 1938, more voters may be willing to simply put the other party last and get more of Xenophon’s candidates elected on preferences. I don’t think that’s likely though, and I think unless Xenophon gets more than 20% of the vote, he’ll struggle to win any lower house seat. I’m in agreement to Antony Green today on Insiders that it’s unlikely, but still not something to be discounted.


https://pbxmastragics.com/2017/09/22/spring-has-sprung/comment-page-26/#comment-280126

The guy I am quoting has a good handle on election results having uploaded a huge amount of historical election results into wiki.

So, Mr X might be a bit desperate?
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby mothra » 08 Oct 2017, 22:25

Aussie wrote:It's a good strategic political move. His Party loses nothing in the Senate as he will be replaced by one of the Party. And...he likely picks up that State seat making it possible to have balance of power both Federally and in SA.




That's pretty much it in a nutshell.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Oct 2017, 22:27

His support in Essential dropped some time ago, he went from 4% to 2%. That is nationally, dunno what support he has in SA.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby mothra » 08 Oct 2017, 22:30

HBS Guy wrote:His support in Essential dropped some time ago, he went from 4% to 2%. That is nationally, dunno what support he has in SA.



I think he's pretty well remembered for the most part. I think a lot of South Aussies will be chuffed to have him home. You know, state pride being what it is here.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Oct 2017, 22:40

Not me! He was one of the jerks on ABC NewsRadio saying it was the renewables caused that blackout! What a liar! What a Lib! His support crumbled to half after that!
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby mothra » 08 Oct 2017, 22:42

True, he's done some pretty crappy things. But i doubt those are things he'll be remembered for.

We shall see.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Oct 2017, 22:43

Will look out the last quarterly NewsPoll and then wait for the next one. Next Essential might have something too, will post all that here.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby mothra » 08 Oct 2017, 22:52

It's certainly going to be interesting.
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Re: Xenophon Quits?

Postby HBS Guy » 08 Oct 2017, 22:58

From the Poll Bludger:

However, two-party analysis is gravely complicated by Nick Xenophon’s party, registered locally as SA Best, which is credited with 21% of the primary vote. This leaves the major parties on just 34% for Liberal and 28% for Labor, with respondent-allocated preferences evidently flowing heavily to Labor. Of the other parties, the Greens and One Nation are on 6% apiece, while Cory Bernardi’s overhyped Australian Conservatives is on 3% – potentially enough to be in the hunt for an upper house seat, but less than half what Family First, with which the party has merged, was able to manage in 2014.


Sample size: 885. Not that big. Date 1/7/17

https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/07/01/galaxy-50-50-south-australia/

Would expect the publicity to result in a bit of rush of support that should fade away again in a month.

I can’t stand him. Ineffective! Not one pokie machine less in SA or federally, always caves when pressure is on and sells his vote for tiny concessions. But he gets himself in front of lots of cameras so he is happy.

Hartley, the seat he will nominate for is Eastern suburbs, his old stomping grounds.
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