#### Shellandshilo1956

##### Active member

no there are 28 million confirmed cases, 13 million recoveries and 15 outstanding cases.... you even said so just got the wrong conclusion......

I think you meant to say there are only 15 million people currently with C-19

That also means 300,000 more will die.........

March 2020 to March 2021 would be 800,000 deaths......

United States Coronavirus: 28,787,505 Cases and 511,685 Deaths - Worldometer (worldometers.info)

of the 19 million recovered there is a 3% death-rate. If this trend continues there would be 840,000 deaths,

More realistically would be a middle point of 2.3% which would be 650,000....

Of course it's just speculation, time will tell....

Considering only about 2 million die a year in the USA this a very substantial number....

I have no idea why you are repeating what I've already said. But YES, there WERE 28M+

**TOTAL**confirmed cases of Covid-19 in the US. This TOTAL number is made up of 13M people who have recovered and 15M people who are still infected. What is the difference in context, in saying that there are still 15M outstanding confirmed cases of Covid-19, or that there are 15M people currently with Covid-19? What exactly did you think I meant? And, what specific conclusion did I get wrong? Based on the mortality rate(500K people dead/28.2M people infected x 100% = 1.8%), we can EXPECT that out of the 15M still infected, that 14.7M people will recover. This leaves only 300K people still infected(less than 1% of the pop.), whose outcomes are undetermined yet. Which is what I said. What is the confusion?

Your mistake is making the massive assumption that of the 300K people left infected are ALL going to die. There are just too many variables that you seem to be ignoring(age, sex, core health, access to doctors and hospitals, etc.). I don't just assume that all 300K people will die, just to create panic, fear, and confusion, based only on my flawed conclusion. How do you know that 300K people will die from this flu-like virus? How can you just add 300K uncertain deaths, onto 500K certain deaths, and even call it speculation? There is a another method to determine the

**expected**number of deaths from this virus. If it took 356 days(Mar2, 2020-Feb 21, 2021) for America to reach 500K deaths, then it should take 213.6 more days(7 months) to reach 800K deaths. If all the other factors remain constant(which they never do)!

Your other mistake is just a blatant logical contradiction. How can a mortality rate exist for people who have already made a full recovery from this virus? This is like saying a person can die from cancer, even after they have recovered from it. Either you have recovered from the disease, or you haven't. Both are easily testable. So, how many people have died from Covid-19, after fully recovering from it? One? That would give us a mortality rate of 0.00000005.2% for the 19M who have recovered. In other words, Buckley's chance of dying. So, lets see the stats!

Finally, there have been over

**2.8M deaths each year in the US since 2017**.(NOT

**2M**). In fact, in 2020 it is estimated that the death toll will reach over 3M(again not 2M) for the first time in the US. Using faulty logic, faulty data, and faulty conclusions, just to imply that Covid-19 deaths represents close to half of all deaths in America(800K out of 2M, or 40%), is just being intellectually dishonest, and socially irresponsible. It actually represents 15.1% of the total US deaths in

**2020**(500K / 2.8M + 500K x 100% = 15.1%).

So, just more of the same disinformation, for the gullible/ignorant.